Will “President / Trump” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 26, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “President / Trump” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.

45%base rate for a new wordNext: Press conference, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Counts
named speaker only
Market
56¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

President / Trump

Probability
45% · prior
Last 8 press conferences
said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026In transcript

I’ve got nothing for you on the—on the discussion with the President. So—but I won’t make that count as your question. On the American people,…

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, June 17, 2026 · Jun 17, 2026In transcript

So, on the President, I, I don’t have anything for you. With respect to the Treasury Secretary, he has been posting pictures of our breakfasts,…

STEVE LIESMANreporterFOMC press conference, April 29, 2026 · Apr 29, 2026In transcript

…remaining on the Board, you’re actually taking a political act and denying President Trump the majority of the Board, which, as President, he would have…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

ELIZABETH SCHULZEreporterFOMC press conference, March 18, 2026 · Mar 18, 2026In transcript

Thanks much. Elizabeth Schulze with ABC News. President Trump says that oil prices and overall inflation will go down very rapidly as soon as the…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

EDWARD LAWRENCEreporterFOMC press conference, January 28, 2026 · Jan 28, 2026 · 17:07In transcript

If I could—if President Trump does pick a new Fed Chairman before May, what does that look like? How would you work with that person,…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not listed

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What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not listed

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Questions

Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘President / Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/president-or-trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=president%20%2F%20trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP