Will “President” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “President” was said at the FOMC press conference on 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: fed chair
- Market
- 57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
President
- Probability
- 51% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
I’ve got nothing for you on the—on the discussion with the President. So—but I won’t make that count as your question. On the American people,…
…tempting. I don’t have anything for you on, on discussions with the President. And I’m not a Wall Street newsletter. Part of the independence of…
Counts: role: fed chair
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
So, on the President, I, I don’t have anything for you. With respect to the Treasury Secretary, he has been posting pictures of our breakfasts,…
Counts: role: fed chair
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.
…particularly passionate about that. Of course, so are the Reserve—so are the presidents. And, you know, it’s a question of how do you accomplish it.…
…same page. The other thing he touched on was the idea of removing Reserve Bank presidents from office over different, different views on monetary policy.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “President” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “President” was said at the FOMC press conference on 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “President” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘President’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/president (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=president · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP