Will “Pardon” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Pardon” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 10% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Pardon
- Probability
- 10% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Pardon” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Pardon” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025.
- What is the probability “Pardon” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 10%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Pardon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/pardon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=pardon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP