Will “Pandemic / Recession” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “Pandemic / Recession” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 28¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Pandemic / Recession
- Probability
- 45% · prior
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the economic shocks of recent years. Strained supply chains arising from the pandemic, military conflicts, energy supply disruptions, substantial increases in tariff rates, and, yes,…
…economists say, elevated the Fed’s employment mandate. Are you worried that the pandemic inflation spike that followed will make future Fed Chairs more reluctant to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…years, and we’ve actually had—we had the tariff shock, we had the pandemic, and now we have an energy shock of some size and duration.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of the macroeconomy is constantly changing. For example, we hadn’t had a pandemic in 100 years. It wasn’t in the model. And we knew it…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the very, very long expansion that ended with the outbreak of the pandemic, we saw that it was 10 years and 8 months or something…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Pandemic / Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/pandemic-or-recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=pandemic%20%2F%20recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP