Will “National Debt” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “National Debt” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 6% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.

6%from settlement history only · n=10Next: Press conference, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: role: fed chair
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
role: fed chair
Market
3¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=national%20debt

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

National Debt

Probability
6% · n=10
Settled
0/10 (0%)
Last 8 press conferences
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: role: fed chair

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 16, 2026National DebtKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026National DebtKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026National DebtKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026National DebtKalshiNo0
Mar 18, 2026National DebtKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026National DebtKalshiNo0
Dec 10, 2025National DebtKalshiNo–
Oct 29, 2025National DebtKalshiNo0
Sep 17, 2025National DebtKalshiNo0
Jul 30, 2025National DebtKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “National Debt” said at the FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “National Debt” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 30, 2025.
What is the probability “National Debt” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
6%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘National Debt’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/national-debt (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=national%20debt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP