Will “Job” be said 15+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Job” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Job 15+ times
- Probability
- 34% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
10 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the conflict in the Middle East. Productivity growth and capital investment—both strong. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has…
…third, our use and reliance on existing data sources; fourth, productivity and jobs in an era of transformation; and last, the Fed’s inflation frameworks. These…
Counts: named speaker only
11 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…people. The U.S. economy has been expanding at a solid pace. While job gains have remained low, the unemployment rate has been little changed in…
…was 4.3 percent in March and has changed little in recent months. Job gains have remained low. A good part of the slowing in the…
Counts: named speaker only
17 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 13 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…last year and is coming into 2026 on a firm footing. While job gains have remained low, the unemployment rate has shown some signs of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Job 15+ times |  Polymarket | No | 10 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Job 15+ times | Polymarket | No | 11 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Job 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 17 |
Questions
- How often is “Job 15+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Job” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Job 15+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Job 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/job-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=job%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP