Will “Inflation” be said 20+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Inflation” was said 20+ times at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 52¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Inflation 20+ times
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
18 counted (11 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. But inflation remains elevated. Today’s policy action will support a timelier return to the…
…congressional remit is in good shape. Yet, for more than five years, inflation has been running above target. So our predominant focus is on the…
Counts: named speaker only
28 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 22 in Q&A); 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
Inflation remains elevated relative to the Committee’s 2 percent goal. The Committee remains resolute. You’ve heard this before, but we will deliver price stability. As…
…clarity. For some households, businesses, and market professionals, five years of high inflation have left a mistaken impression that’s hard to shake—that the Fed’s implicit…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Inflation 20+ times |  Polymarket | No | 18 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Inflation 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 28 |
Questions
- How often is “Inflation 20+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Inflation” was said 20+ times at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Inflation 20+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Inflation 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/inflation-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=inflation%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP