Will “Inflation” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Inflation” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 8.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Inflation
- Probability
- 56% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. But inflation remains elevated. Today’s policy action will support a timelier return to the…
Inflation remains elevated relative to the Committee’s 2 percent goal. The Committee remains resolute. You’ve heard this before, but we will deliver price stability. As…
…the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. We recognize that inflation has been running well ahead of the Fed’s long-stated inflation goal of…
…remained low, the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months. Inflation has moved up and is elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase…
…low, the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months, and inflation remains somewhat elevated. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Inflation” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Inflation” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 24, 2025.
- What is the probability “Inflation” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP