Will “Growth” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Growth” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 8.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Growth
- Probability
- 62% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
8 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…2.4 percent last year. Data available prior to the shutdown show that growth in economic activity may be on a somewhat firmer trajectory than expected,…
…A good part of the slowing likely reflects a decline in the growth of the labor force due to lower immigration and labor force participation,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Growth” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Growth” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability “Growth” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Growth’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/growth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=growth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP