Will “Good Day” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Good Day” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 73% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
- Market
- 94¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Good Day
- Probability
- 73% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
Good day. In the meeting just concluded, the FOMC decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by a ¼ percentage point…
Counts: role: fed chair
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
Good day. My second FOMC Committee meeting as Chairman has come quickly. It’s probably too early to call it a streak, but our discussions again…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Good Day” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Good Day” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Good Day” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 73%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Good Day’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/good-day (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=good%20day · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP