Will “Geopolitical” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “Geopolitical” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 2.
- Counts
- role: fed chair
- Market
- 58¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Geopolitical
- Probability
- 36% · prior
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…at a solid pace. While uncertainty remains elevated—owing, in part, to geopolitical developments—domestic spending has been resilient. Productivity growth—strong; and capital investment is…
…can’t—I can’t comment on that speech or statement or anything like that. Geopolitical risk for us is—a lot of it is around energy, oil. And…
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Geopolitical’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/geopolitical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=geopolitical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP