Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 26, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 73¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
- Probability
- 45% · prior
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…good question, Richard. We cannot affect any individual price, whether it be oil prices, whether it be foodstuffs at the grocery store. But what we…
…cannot have a very significant effect on particular prices. The price of oil in the markets today or even the price of a dozen eggs,…
…12 months ending in March, boosted by the significant rise in global oil prices that has resulted from the conflict in the Middle East. Excluding…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…expectations have risen in recent weeks, likely reflecting the substantial rise in oil prices caused by the supply disruptions in the Middle East. Most measures…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that. Geopolitical risk for us is—a lot of it is around energy, oil. And so far we haven’t— for all the turmoil, we really—oil prices…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-natural-gas-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20natural%20gas%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP