Will “Family Fight / Family Feud” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Family Fight / Family Feud” was said at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: fed chair
- Market
- 41¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Family Fight / Family Feud
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…you some others. [Laughter] So you’re right. I asked for a good family fight, and I got one. That’s the purpose; that’s the design feature.…
…lot more interaction between and among my colleagues. It was a real family fight. My view, which you’ve long heard, is that’s the better way…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Family Fight / Family Feud |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Family Fight / Family Feud | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “Family Fight / Family Feud” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Family Fight / Family Feud” was said at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Family Fight / Family Feud” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Family Fight / Family Feud’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/family-feud-or-family-fight (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=family%20feud%20%2F%20family%20fight · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP