Will “Unchanged / Dissent” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 25, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “Unchanged / Dissent” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 20¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Unchanged / Dissent
- Probability
- 45% · prior
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you were after at this meeting. [Laughter] We saw three—we saw three dissents. Could you characterize the arguments that those dissenters put forward, please, and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…global energy prices. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. We see the current stance of monetary policy as appropriate to promote…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…remains somewhat elevated. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. We see the current stance of monetary policy as appropriate to promote…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. Having lowered our policy rate by 75 basis points over the course…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the end of 2026 and 3.1 percent at the end of 2027, unchanged from September. As is always the case, these individual forecasts are subject…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Unchanged / Dissent’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/dissent-or-unchanged (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=dissent%20%2F%20unchanged · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP