Will “Data” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Data” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 8.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Data
- Probability
- 62% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
30 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 25 in Q&A); 10 by speakers the rule does not count.
…for the benefit of the American people. Although some important federal government data have been delayed due to the shutdown, the public- and private-sector data…
…the first half of the year, down from 2.4 percent last year. Data available prior to the shutdown show that growth in economic activity may…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Data” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Data” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability “Data” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Data’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/data (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=data · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP