Will “Commodity” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “Commodity” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 2.

36%base rate for a new wordNext: Press conference, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: role: fed chair
Counts
role: fed chair
Market
41¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Commodity

Probability
36% · prior
Last 8 press conferences
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: role: fed chair

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026In transcript

…a 6- and 12-month basis. I noted in Jackson Hole that overall commodity prices also bear watching. And, over the intermeeting period, the prices of…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, March 18, 2026 · Mar 18, 2026In transcript

You know, we—you can—you can worry about other commodities, you can worry about all of the ways that oil commodities, oil-related commodities go into manufacturing,…

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not listed

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What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not listed

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Questions

Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Commodity’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/commodity (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=commodity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP