Will “CapEx / Capital Expenditure” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 26, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “CapEx / Capital Expenditure” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 72¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceFOMC press conference
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
- Probability
- 45% · prior
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Second reason, competition for capital. The surge in capital expenditures, which I referenced in my remarks, is real, and the so-called hyperscalers are out in…
…economy is the strong growth of business investment. The surge in high-tech capex has been remarkable. But that does not necessarily make the Fed’s role…
…could ask about AI, the buildout is generating enormous demand right now, cap-ex, data centers, power. The productivity payoff may be further out. So, in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘CapEx / Capital Expenditure’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/capex-or-capital-expenditure (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=capex%20%2F%20capital%20expenditure · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP