Will “Beige Book” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Beige Book” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 18, 2025 (29%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Beige Book
- Probability
- 35% · n=7
- Settled
- 2/7 (29%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…the outlook for growth. The data have come in, and sentiment, the Beige Book—everything—comes in suggesting that this year starts off on a solid footing…
Counts: role: fed chair
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…job openings, and we’ll get lots of survey data, we’ll get the Beige Book and things like that. So we’ll have a—we’ll have a picture…
…have a picture of what’s going on. We also will have the Beige Book again. I would say we’re not going to be able to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Beige Book |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Beige Book | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Beige Book | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Beige Book | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Beige Book |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Beige Book | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Beige Book | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Beige Book” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Beige Book” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 18, 2025 (29%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Beige Book” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Beige Book’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/beige-book (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=beige%20book · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP