Will “Anchor / Anchored” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Anchor / Anchored” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (40%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 5.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: fed chair
- Market
- 49¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Anchor / Anchored
- Probability
- 40% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…that inflation compensation in market prices stays low, and that inflation expectations remain well anchored. This afternoon, you also received the Summary of Economic Projections.
…and should fade on their own, so long as inflation expectations stay anchored. Now that you have hiked rates, do you need to push growth…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: role: fed chair
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…inflation sustainably to our 2 percent goal, and keeping longer-term inflation expectations well anchored. Our success in delivering on these goals matters to all Americans.
…energy shocks, but that’s always been dependent on inflation expectations remaining well anchored. And I think now it’s also dependent now on what you mentioned,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anchor / Anchored |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anchor / Anchored |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Anchor / Anchored | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Anchor / Anchored | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Anchor / Anchored | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Anchor / Anchored | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Anchor / Anchored | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “Anchor / Anchored” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Anchor / Anchored” was said at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (40%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Anchor / Anchored” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Anchor / Anchored’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/anchor-or-anchored (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=anchor%20%2F%20anchored · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP