Will “AI / Artificial Intelligence” be said 3+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said 3+ times at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 47¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
- Probability
- 70% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…ago—four years ago, five years ago. And that’s not because of generative AI, it’s—it may—we’ll—we won’t know for years what it’s really due to. But…
…And we haven’t really started to see the effects of, of generative AI. And that should—that should certainly contribute to that. So it’s quite unusual,…
Counts: named speaker only
8 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…has held up. It’s been resilient. To another degree, it is that AI—spending on data centers and related to AI has been holding up business…
…reasons. Fiscal policy is going to be supportive. And, as I mentioned, AI spending will continue. The consumer continues to spend. So it looks like…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How often is “AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said 3+ times at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP