Will “AI / Artificial Intelligence” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said at the FOMC press conference on 9 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2025 (75%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 7.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
- Market
- 81¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 77% · n=12
- Settled
- 9/12 (75%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…But we do have responsibility for stable prices—as I’ve said before, inflation is a, is a choice—and today we took a step in delivering it.
So I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about AI, and before I found my way to this post, I spent a lot of time…
Counts: role: fed chair
4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…that does not necessarily make the Fed’s role any easier. In the AI-related category of high-tech equipment and software, the most recent data shows four-quarter…
…years. Strained supply chains arising from the pandemic, military conflicts, energy supply disruptions, substantial increases in tariff rates, and, yes, the surge in AI-related investment.
Counts: role: fed chair
6 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the pace, the reach, the economic impact of new general-purpose technologies, including AI, and explore the implications for the Fed in pursuit of our employment…
Every settled listing
newest first · 18 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Artificial Intelligence / AI | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 29, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 17, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | AI/Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | AI/Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | AI/Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “AI / Artificial Intelligence” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said at the FOMC press conference on 9 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2025 (75%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “AI / Artificial Intelligence” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 77%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP