Shane Gillis

Entertainment · Late night & talkPersonHistory onlyUpdated
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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 50 word markets on Shane Gillis’ appearances since 2025, on 44 different words.

History Wall

1–40 of 44, most settled first · page 1 of 2
Shane Gillis: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordJul 16 ’25awards showJul 17latestLast 2SettledProbability
EpsteinSettled yes: Epstein, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled yes: Epstein, Jul 17 awards show2/2100%2/2100%–
BieberSettled no: Bieber, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled no: Bieber, Jul 17 awards show0/20%0/20%–
FootballSettled no: Football, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled no: Football, Jul 17 awards show0/20%0/20%–
FreakSettled no: Freak, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled no: Freak, Jul 17 awards show0/20%0/20%–
LeBronSettled no: LeBron, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled no: LeBron, Jul 17 awards show0/20%0/20%–
PhiladelphiaSettled no: Philadelphia, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled no: Philadelphia, Jul 17 awards show0/20%0/20%–
Bill BelichickSettled yes: Bill Belichick, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Bill Belichick, Jul 17 awards show1/1100%1/1100%–
CaitlinSettled yes: Caitlin, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Caitlin, Jul 17 awards show1/1100%1/1100%–
EagleSettled yes: Eagle, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Eagle, Jul 17 awards show1/1100%1/1100%–
Norm MacdonaldSettled yes: Norm Macdonald, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Norm Macdonald, Jul 17 awards show1/1100%1/1100%–
TrumpSettled yes: Trump, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Trump, Jul 17 awards show1/1100%1/1100%–
ArmySettled no: Army, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Army, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
BettingSettled no: Betting, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Betting, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
CoachSettled no: Coach, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Coach, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
ControversySettled no: Controversy, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Controversy, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
CunninghamSettled no: Cunningham, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Cunningham, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
Deshaun WatsonSettled no: Deshaun Watson, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Deshaun Watson, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
DiddySettled no: Diddy, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Diddy, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
DrakeSettled no: Drake, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Drake, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
DUISettled no: DUI, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: DUI, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
Edmund fitzgeraldSettled no: Edmund fitzgerald, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Edmund fitzgerald, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
ElonSettled no: Elon, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Elon, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
FileSettled no: File, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: File, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
FlaggSettled no: Flagg, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Flagg, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
GamblingSettled no: Gambling, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Gambling, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
GayNot listed: Gay, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled no: Gay, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
Gordon LightfootSettled no: Gordon Lightfoot, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Gordon Lightfoot, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
John CenaSettled no: John Cena, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: John Cena, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
Jordon HudsonSettled no: Jordon Hudson, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Jordon Hudson, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
MarineSettled no: Marine, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Marine, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
Massage / Massage ParlorSettled no: Massage / Massage Parlor, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Massage / Massage Parlor, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
NetflixSettled no: Netflix, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Netflix, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
OilSettled no: Oil, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Oil, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
OJ / SimpsonSettled no: OJ / Simpson, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: OJ / Simpson, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
OlympicSettled no: Olympic, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Olympic, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
PennsylvaniaSettled no: Pennsylvania, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Pennsylvania, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
PodcastSettled no: Podcast, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Podcast, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
ReeseSettled no: Reese, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Reese, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
Retard/retardedNot listed: Retard/retarded, Jul 16 ’25 awards showSettled no: Retard/retarded, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
Robert KraftSettled no: Robert Kraft, Jul 16 ’25 awards showNot listed: Robert Kraft, Jul 17 awards show0/10%0/10%–
  • Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
  • N: settled no
  • not listed
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Settled
every settled market of the word: said / listed
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (4 left)

Appearances and settled record

latest 2

Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Jul 17, 2025Awards showWhat will Shane Gillis say during ESPYs Opening Monologue?no transcript81 yes · 7 no–
Jul 16, 2025Awards showWhat will Shane Gillis say during the Opening Monologue at the 2025 ESPYs?no transcript426 yes · 36 no–

Citeparrot.markets, “Shane Gillis: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/shane-gillis (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/shane-gillis · words: /api/v1/history?entity=shane-gillis · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP