Golden Globes

Entertainment · Awards & specialsShowHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 04:38 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 33 word markets on Golden Globes since 2026, on 29 different words.

History Wall

1–29 of 29, most settled first

Golden Globes: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Jan 11awards show	Jan 12latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 12 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Epstein	NSettled no: Epstein, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Epstein, Jan 12 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Maduro / Venezuela	NSettled no: Maduro / Venezuela, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Maduro / Venezuela, Jan 12 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Trump	NSettled no: Trump, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Trump, Jan 12 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
White House / Ballroom	YSettled yes: White House / Ballroom, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: White House / Ballroom, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
God	YSettled yes: God, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: God, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Hollywood	–Not listed: Hollywood, Jan 11 awards show	YSettled yes: Hollywood, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Jesus	YSettled yes: Jesus, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Jesus, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Julia Roberts	–Not listed: Julia Roberts, Jan 11 awards show	YSettled yes: Julia Roberts, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Podcast / Podcaster	–Not listed: Podcast / Podcaster, Jan 11 awards show	YSettled yes: Podcast / Podcaster, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Timothée Chalamet	–Not listed: Timothée Chalamet, Jan 11 awards show	YSettled yes: Timothée Chalamet, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Warner	–Not listed: Warner, Jan 11 awards show	YSettled yes: Warner, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Weird / Weirdo	YSettled yes: Weird / Weirdo, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Weird / Weirdo, Jan 12 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Acceptance Speech	NSettled no: Acceptance Speech, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Acceptance Speech, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ashley Tisdale	–Not listed: Ashley Tisdale, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Ashley Tisdale, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Diddy	–Not listed: Diddy, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Diddy, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Drink / Drunk	NSettled no: Drink / Drunk, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Drink / Drunk, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Fire / Wildfire	–Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Fire / Wildfire, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ICE / National Guard	–Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: ICE / National Guard, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Kylie / Jenner	–Not listed: Kylie / Jenner, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Kylie / Jenner, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Kamala	NSettled no: Kamala, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Kamala, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Mention	NSettled no: Mention, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Mention, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Minnesota	NSettled no: Minnesota, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Minnesota, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Netflix	–Not listed: Netflix, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Netflix, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Newsom	–Not listed: Newsom, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Newsom, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ozempic	–Not listed: Ozempic, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Ozempic, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Six Seven	NSettled no: Six Seven, Jan 11 awards show	–Not listed: Six Seven, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	–Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tom Brady	–Not listed: Tom Brady, Jan 11 awards show	NSettled no: Tom Brady, Jan 12 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Golden Globes: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/golden-globes (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/golden-globes · words: /api/v1/history?entity=golden-globes · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP