Golden Globes: Awards show, Jan 11, 2026

Sun, Jan 11Awards showHistory onlyGolden Globes

Updated

Markets

14 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
God Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Jesus Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Weird / Weirdo Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
White House / Ballroom Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Acceptance Speech No–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
Drink / Drunk No–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No–new new word, no probability yet–
Kamala No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mention No–new new word, no probability yet–
Minnesota No–new new word, no probability yet–
Six Seven No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–
Venezuela / Maduro No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-at-the-83rd-golden-globes · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP