Golden Globes: Awards show, Jan 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Nikki Glaser say during the Golden Globe Awards?
Markets
19 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hollywood | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Julia Roberts | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Podcast / Podcaster | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Timothée Chalamet | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Warner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ashley Tisdale | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Diddy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fire / Wildfire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kylie / Jenner | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Newsom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ozempic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tom Brady | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGLASERMENTION-26JAN12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP