Glen Powell
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 20 word markets on Glen Powell’s appearances since 2025, on 18 different words.
History Wall
1–18 of 18, most settled first| Word | Nov 15 ’25episode | Nov 16latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Settled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Nov 16 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Trump, Nov 16 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Texas | Settled yes: Texas, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Not listed: Texas, Nov 16 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Top Gun | Settled yes: Top Gun, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Not listed: Top Gun, Nov 16 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Sabrina / Carpenter | Settled no: Sabrina / Carpenter, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Not listed: Sabrina / Carpenter, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Chad Powers | Not listed: Chad Powers, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Chad Powers, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ChatGPT | Not listed: ChatGPT, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: ChatGPT, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Comedy / Comedian | Not listed: Comedy / Comedian, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Comedy / Comedian, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Debut | Not listed: Debut, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Debut, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ICE | Settled no: ICE, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Not listed: ICE, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| New York City | Not listed: New York City, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: New York City, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Rumor | Not listed: Rumor, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Rumor, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Running Man3+ times | Settled no: Running Man 3+ times, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Not listed: Running Man 3+ times, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Sydney / Sweeney | Settled no: Sydney / Sweeney, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Not listed: Sydney / Sweeney, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Taylor / Swift | Settled no: Taylor / Swift, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Not listed: Taylor / Swift, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Sydney Sweeney | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Sydney Sweeney, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Tom Cruise | Not listed: Tom Cruise, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Tom Cruise, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Twister / Tornado | Not listed: Twister / Tornado, Nov 15 ’25 episode | Settled no: Twister / Tornado, Nov 16 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Glen Powell say during Saturday Night Live? | no transcript | 11 | 0 yes · 11 no | – |
| Nov 15, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Glen Powell say during Saturday Night Live on November 15? | no transcript | 9 | 2 yes · 7 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Glen Powell: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/glen-powell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/glen-powell · words: /api/v1/history?entity=glen-powell · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP