Will Tesla say “Lidar”?

Tesla did not say “Lidar” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 7, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Lidar” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

19%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Lidar

Probability
19% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ashok Elluswamycompanyprepared · 24:32Hear it 24:28, Ashok Elluswamy In transcript

…over 380,000 miles. Historically, the so-called experts have always claimed that you need LiDARs, radars, HD maps, and the entire kitchen sink to drive safely.

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

Yeah. I mean, LiDAR doesn't work in the fall, guys. LiDAR has a lot of issues. I don't have to like, the SpaceX Dragon docks…

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

Literally designed and built our own red LiDAR. I oversaw the project, the engineering thing. It was my decision to use LiDAR on Dragon and…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 15, 2026LidarKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Lidar” on its last earnings call?
Tesla did not say “Lidar” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 7, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
How often does Tesla say “Lidar”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Lidar” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
What is the probability Tesla says “Lidar” next time?
19%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Lidar’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/lidar (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=lidar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP