Will Shopify say “Service”?

Shopify said “Service” 3 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 2, 5, 2, 10, 10, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Shopify said “Service” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

93%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
80¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Shopify

Service

Probability
93% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Harley FinkelsteincompanypreparedIn transcript

This model will continue to service even better in this new agentic era of commerce. Let's talk more about Shopify's infrastructure, specifically what we've been…

Jeff HoffmeistercompanypreparedIn transcript

…in other merchant solutions, primarily from our partner rev shares and financial services. Now turning to our profitability. Merchant solutions gross profit grew 39%, with…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2026 · said 10 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

10 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A).

Harley FinkelsteincompanypreparedIn transcript

…added in Q1, including ChatGPT, Pinterest, and Microsoft Monetize, we're bringing more services and more reach and more buyers into the ecosystem. Here's another example…

Harley FinkelsteincompanypreparedIn transcript

…room for a much bigger conversation. Unified commerce, POS, payments, B2B, agentic services, the full picture. Once they join, they stay. More products, more services,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 11, 2026 · said 10 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

10 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Harley FinkelsteincompanypreparedIn transcript

…and effective. We win more merchants to sell for. We build more services from to sell on, and we attract more buyers for them to…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 6, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 11, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026ServiceKalshiYes3
May 5, 2026ServiceKalshiYes10
Feb 11, 2026ServiceKalshiYes10

Questions

How many times did Shopify say “Service” on its last earnings call?
Shopify said “Service” 3 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 2, 5, 2, 10, 10, 3 times.
How often does Shopify say “Service”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Shopify said “Service” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability Shopify says “Service” next time?
93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Shopify: ‘Service’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SHOP/words/service (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=shopify&word=service · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=shopify&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP