Will FedEx say “Tariff”?
FedEx said “Tariff” 1 time on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 9, 0, 1, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, FedEx said “Tariff” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (60%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 64¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FedEx
Tariff
- Probability
- 50% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…very tough year for them. They faced the largest headwind from the tariff environment and the de minimis, and we've now had two consecutive quarters…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…answer any question regarding what might or might not happen on the tariff front. You know, any international volume increase, obviously, is beneficial. But we're…
…you know, what might be an imminent supreme court ruling on the tariffs. Wondering, you know, if we see a decision against the administration whether…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
9 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…our customers as they navigate shifting demand trends, evaluate the impact of tariffs on their businesses, and adjust their supply chains accordingly. And importantly, our…
…tightly integrated with our customers' existing workflows, ensuring that critical trade and tariff-related work can occur seamlessly and efficiently. As you are all aware, there's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did FedEx say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- FedEx said “Tariff” 1 time on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 9, 0, 1, 0, 1 times.
- How often does FedEx say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, FedEx said “Tariff” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (60%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability FedEx says “Tariff” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “FedEx: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FDX/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fedex&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fedex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP