Ford (F): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 28, 2026

Tue, Jul 28Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptFord

On its Jul 28, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Ford said 10 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 14 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Recall / Recalled Yes1212✓73%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:28, Recall / Recalled–
Electric vehicle / EV Yes55✓95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:47, Electric vehicle / EV–
Tariff Yes57✓93%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 11:57, Tariff–
Apple Yes56✓15%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:35, Apple–
Headwind Yes46✓88%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 17:46, Headwind–
Oakville Yes44✓48%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:56, Oakville–
Iran / Middle East Yes11✓56%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 21:44, Iran / Middle East–
Tailwind Yes11✓55%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 51:40, Tailwind–
Market Share Yes11✓50%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 8:04, Market Share–
Geely Yes11✓28%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:53, Geely–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No11✗60%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:12, AI / Artificial Intelligence–
China No00✓73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Skunk Works No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subsidy / Subsidized No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Autonomy / Autonomous No00✓28%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Jim Farleycompany“Recall / Recalled” · prepared · 5:30Hear it 5:24, Jim Farley

…initial quality to long-term durability, lowering our warranty costs even further, fewer recalls, stronger customer loyalty, more pricing power, and for our conquest and growth,…

Jim Farleycompany“Electric vehicle / EV” · prepared · 8:49Hear it 8:43, Jim Farley

…performance. Turning to Model e, we're aggressively driving down Gen-1 costs and will become a major scaled competitor as we invest in affordable, versatile EVs.

Jim Farleycompany“Tariff” · prepared · 11:59Hear it 11:59, Jim Farley

Tariff resilient, world-class U.S. manufacturing, leading battery technology, an iconic American brand that is already familiar to communities who are most in need for grid…

Jim Farleycompany“Apple” · prepared · 9:37Hear it 9:35, Jim Farley

…drive, and personalized technology in the experience. In fact, we just announced Apple last week, as you know, will be the embedded map provider for…

Sherry Housecompany“Headwind” · prepared · 17:48Hear it 17:43, Sherry House

…our most profitable channels. Ford Pro delivered a solid quarter despite significant headwinds, delivering $1.7 billion in EBIT on $17.8 billion of revenue, down 26%…

Jim Farleycompany“Oakville” · prepared · 2:58Hear it 2:54, Jim Farley

…our Canadian employees. Our business in Canada and our manufacturing operations in Oakville are really important to our future at Ford. This agreement also underscores…

Sherry Housecompany“Iran / Middle East” · prepared · 21:46Hear it 21:40, Sherry House

…guidance does not include potential impacts of a significant escalation in the Middle East or a material downturn in the U.S. economy, which could have…

Sherry Housecompany“Tailwind” · qa · 51:42Hear it 51:36, Sherry House

…start to see a little bit of softening, that would be a tailwind. In short, you see a company more efficient, more durable, and fitter,…

Jim Farleycompany“Market Share” · prepared · 8:06Hear it 8:00, Jim Farley

…Pro is the cornerstone of our global business and holds commercial vehicle market share leadership in both North America and Europe. The Oakville expansion I…

Jim Farleycompany“Geely” · prepared · 9:55Hear it 9:50, Jim Farley

In Europe, as you saw last week, we announced our agreement with Geely, which will bring speed and capital efficiency to our European operations. The…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/ford:2026-07-28:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=ford:2026-07-28:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP