Circle (CRCL)

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 26 word markets on Circle’s earnings calls since 2025, on 11 different words. Next call: Nov 4, 2026 (10 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

10 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Circle: the words listed for Wed, Nov 4, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ3’25year agoQ4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 4ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Testnetevery call11 times: Testnet, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said10 times: Testnet, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Testnet, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Testnet, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling4/4100%4/4100%4/4100%92%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts58¢ Kalshi
Polymarket0 times: Polymarket, Q3’25 Nov '257 times: Polymarket, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said1 time: Polymarket, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said2 times: Polymarket, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady3/475%3/475%3/475%81%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Traffic1 time: Traffic, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said3 times: Traffic, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Traffic, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: Traffic, Q2’26 Aug '26falling3/475%3/475%3/475%70%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Fintech1 time: Fintech, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Fintech, Q4’25 Feb '263 times: Fintech, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Fintech, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising3/475%3/475%3/475%67%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Treasury2 times: Treasury, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Treasury, Q4’25 Feb '267 times: Treasury, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: Treasury, Q2’26 Aug '26steady2/450%2/450%2/450%64%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Acceleration0 times: Acceleration, Q3’25 Nov '253 times: Acceleration, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said1 time: Acceleration, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: Acceleration, Q2’26 Aug '26falling2/450%2/450%2/450%54%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts48¢ Kalshi
M&A / Merger6 times: M&A / Merger, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: M&A / Merger, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: M&A / Merger, Q1’26 May '260 times: M&A / Merger, Q2’26 Aug '26falling1/425%0/40%1/425%41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Intuit0 times: Intuit, Q3’25 Nov '252 times: Intuit, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Intuit, Q1’26 May '260 times: Intuit, Q2’26 Aug '26falling1/425%1/425%1/425%34%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Kraken1 time: Kraken, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Kraken, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Kraken, Q1’26 May '260 times: Kraken, Q2’26 Aug '26falling1/425%1/425%1/425%30%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Trump / Administrationnever said0 times: Trump / Administration, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Trump / Administration, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Trump / Administration, Q1’26 May '260 times: Trump / Administration, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/40%0/40%0/40%19%transcripts from the transcript model46¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:21 UTC.

Every word

1–2 of 2, most settled first
Circle: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’25Nov '25Q4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 4ScriptedAll-timeProbability
M&A6 times: M&A, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: M&A, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: M&A, Q1’26 May '260 times: M&A, Q2’26 Aug '26falling1/425%0/40%1/425%56%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Shutdown / Shut Downnever said0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 May '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/40%0/40%0/40%16%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 4

Our transcript counts matched how 25 of 26 settled words resolved (96.2%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Aug 5, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 11, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript96 yes · 3 no9/9 (100%)
Feb 25, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript96 yes · 3 no8/9 (89%)
Nov 12, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript86 yes · 2 no8/8 (100%)

Citeparrot.markets, “Circle (CRCL): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CRCL (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/circle · words: /api/v1/history?entity=circle · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP