Will Circle say “Polymarket”?

Circle said “Polymarket” 2 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 4 calls: 0, 7, 1, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Circle said “Polymarket” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 81% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

81%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Circle

Polymarket

Probability
81% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 4

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jeremy AllairecompanypreparedIn transcript

…as a major source of digital asset trading activity. Spot volume on Polymarket grew more than 8x year-over-year. Open interest posted in these markets grew…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 11, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jeremy AllairecompanypreparedIn transcript

…to drivers and other global enterprises embracing USDC in their payments flows. Polymarket adopting USDC for funding and settlement on their leading prediction market. Innovative…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

7 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jeremy AllairecompanypreparedIn transcript

…of normal banking hours using USDC. And earlier this month, Circle and Polymarket, the largest prediction market in the world, announced a formal partnership where…

Jeremy AllairecompanyqaIn transcript

…applications that were built over the past 3, 4, 5 years, and Polymarket is one of those. And so with Poly market, we've been able…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 11, 2026PolymarketKalshiYes1
Feb 25, 2026PolymarketKalshiYes7

Questions

How many times did Circle say “Polymarket” on its last earnings call?
Circle said “Polymarket” 2 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 4 calls: 0, 7, 1, 2 times.
How often does Circle say “Polymarket”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Circle said “Polymarket” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 11, 2026.
What is the probability Circle says “Polymarket” next time?
81%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Circle: ‘Polymarket’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CRCL/words/polymarket (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=circle&word=polymarket · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=circle&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP