Will Circle say “Kraken”?

Circle did not say “Kraken” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 4 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Circle said “Kraken” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (67%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

30%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=circle&word=kraken

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Circle

Kraken

Probability
30% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 4

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 11, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jeremy AllairecompanypreparedIn transcript

…world, including with leading companies such as Brex, Deutsche Börse, Fireblocks, Finastra, Kraken and Itaú, the largest bank in Latin America. These are all key…

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 11, 2026KrakenKalshiNo0
Feb 25, 2026KrakenKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Nov 12, 2025KrakenKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Circle say “Kraken” on its last earnings call?
Circle did not say “Kraken” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 4 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Circle say “Kraken”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Circle said “Kraken” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (67%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026.
What is the probability Circle says “Kraken” next time?
30%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Circle: ‘Kraken’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CRCL/words/kraken (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=circle&word=kraken · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=circle&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP