Will Coinbase say “Prediction Market”?
Coinbase said “Prediction Market” 4 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 7, 0, 1, 4, 11, 11, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Coinbase said “Prediction Market” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 92% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Coinbase
Prediction Market
- Probability
- 92% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…at the one-yard line and now out for the Senate floor vote, prediction markets and Galaxy Research have odds of it passing around roughly 30%,…
…we are seeing a lot of success with growth marketing efforts around prediction markets and also crypto trading, some of the new products that we…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
11 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
…24/7 equity derivatives, retail access and geographic expansion for derivatives. We've added prediction markets. We're starting to see real traction now, validating our Everything Exchange…
…growth. We saw green shoots in the Everything Exchange from derivatives and prediction markets. We came in under our expense guidance. Against this backdrop, macro…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
11 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
…and services revenue and now trading of other asset classes like stocks, prediction markets and commodities means our revenue is less correlated to crypto price…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Prediction Market |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Prediction Market |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did Coinbase say “Prediction Market” on its last earnings call?
- Coinbase said “Prediction Market” 4 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 7, 0, 1, 4, 11, 11, 4 times.
- How often does Coinbase say “Prediction Market”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Coinbase said “Prediction Market” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Coinbase says “Prediction Market” next time?
- 92%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Coinbase: ‘Prediction Market’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COIN/words/prediction-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=coinbase&word=prediction%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=coinbase&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP