Coinbase (COIN): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 12, 2026

Thu, Feb 12Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCoinbase

On its Feb 12, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Coinbase said 13 of the 15 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Stablecoin Yes3434✓97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Subscription Yes1010✓92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Bitcoin Yes66✓93%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Ethereum / ETH Yes55✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation Yes44✓95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Custodial / Custody Yes33✓94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Regulator / Regulatory Yes33✓94%transcripts from the transcript model–
Staking / Stake Yes33✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission Yes22✓91%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Institution / Institutional Yes11✓96%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
International Yes11✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Margin Yes11✓87%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Decentralized Exchange / DEX Yes11✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Blockchain No00✓88%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Web3 No00✓41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Brian Armstrongcompany“Stablecoin” · prepared

…and more bullish than ever. Moreover, we've successfully diversified the business where stablecoins, subscription and services revenue and now trading of other asset classes like…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Subscription” · prepared

…We now have 12 products doing over $100 million in annualized revenue. Subscription and services revenue hit all-time highs, up 5.5x from the peak in…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Bitcoin” · prepared

…the ability to continue investing in these market conditions. We'll keep buying Bitcoin. We'll continue to buy our stock back, and we won't stop building.…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Ethereum / ETH” · qa

…of use cases. So it's -- our goal is to help it be really like the primary utility layer for crypto, all built on Ethereum.

Anil Guptacompany“Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” · qa

…et cetera. What's Coinbase's view on the Base L2 value prop going forward in this respect? And how might potential DeFi regulations shape Base's future?

Brian Armstrongcompany“Custodial / Custody” · prepared

…and this is the broad term that we use for DeFi, self custodial wallets and full adoption of decentralized technology as opposed to centralized intermediaries.…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Regulator / Regulatory” · qa

…this industry -- repatriate those reserves and bring it within the U.S. regulatory perimeter, they're going to have to be competitive and paying rewards is…

Alesia Haascompany“Staking / Stake” · prepared

…is inflows to our assets on platform, where customers then in turn stake, they custody, they engage in USDC. So we're seeing growth in native…

Anil Guptacompany“SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission” · prepared

…factors that could cause these results to differ is included in our SEC filings. Our discussion today will also include certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Institution / Institutional” · prepared

…the most trusted brand in crypto, and we work with thousands of institutions, including 5 G-SIB banks and 150 government agencies. Just as one example,…

Alesia Haascompany“International” · qa

…in 2026. We have good momentum both across the U.S. and our international markets. We have momentum coming from the integration of options into our…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Decentralized Exchange / DEX” · prepared

…been able to offer. So for example, we were early to offer DEX trading, which now allows us to have millions of crypto assets available…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/coinbase:2026-02-12:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=coinbase:2026-02-12:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP