Coinbase (COIN)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 79 word markets on Coinbase’s earnings calls since 2025, on 19 different words.
History Wall
1–19 of 19, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 9 times: Bitcoin, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 5 times: Bitcoin, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 6 times: Bitcoin, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: Bitcoin, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Bitcoin, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 6 times: Bitcoin, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q1’26 May '26 | 3 times: Bitcoin, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 4/850% | 20/2291% | 86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Custodial / Custody | 5 times: Custodial / Custody, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 5 times: Custodial / Custody, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 8 times: Custodial / Custody, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 10 times: Custodial / Custody, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Custodial / Custody, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Custodial / Custody, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Custodial / Custody, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Custodial / Custody, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 7/888% | 7/888% | 20/2291% | 81%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Decentralized Exchange / DEX | 1 time: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q1’25 May '25 | 8 times: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Decentralized Exchange / DEX, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 6/875% | 5/862% | 12/2255% | 75%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Institution / Institutional | 6 times: Institution / Institutional, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 6 times: Institution / Institutional, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 20 times: Institution / Institutional, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 8 times: Institution / Institutional, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 15 times: Institution / Institutional, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Institution / Institutional, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 17 times: Institution / Institutional, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Institution / Institutional, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 21/2295% | 96%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| International | 3 times: International, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 7 times: International, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 10 times: International, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: International, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: International, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: International, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 6/875% | 3/838% | 20/2291% | 68%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Margin | 2 times: Margin, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Margin, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 4 times: Margin, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Margin, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 10 times: Margin, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Margin, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Margin, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Margin, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 4/850% | 13/2259% | 88%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | 14 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 9 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 8 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 8 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 4 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 6 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 7/888% | 7/888% | 21/2295% | 88%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| SEC / Securities and Exchange Commissionevery call | 2 times: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 4 times: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 22/22100% | 87%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Stablecoin | 26 times: Stablecoin, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 21 times: Stablecoin, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 17 times: Stablecoin, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 25 times: Stablecoin, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 12 times: Stablecoin, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 34 times: Stablecoin, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 33 times: Stablecoin, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 20 times: Stablecoin, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 17/2277% | 98%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Staking / Stake | 4 times: Staking / Stake, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 7 times: Staking / Stake, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Staking / Stake, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Staking / Stake, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Staking / Stake, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Staking / Stake, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Staking / Stake, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Staking / Stake, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 5/862% | 21/2295% | 86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Subscriptionevery call | 5 times: Subscription, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 6 times: Subscription, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Subscription, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Subscription, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Subscription, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 10 times: Subscription, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Subscription, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Subscription, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 22/22100% | 93%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Blockchain | 1 time: Blockchain, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Blockchain, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Blockchain, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Blockchain, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Blockchain, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Blockchain, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Blockchain, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Blockchain, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 4/850% | 21/2295% | 74%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Web3 | 0 times: Web3, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Web3, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Web3, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Web3, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Web3, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Web3, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Web3, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Web3, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 12/2255% | 26%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Ethereum / ETH | 6 times: Ethereum / ETH, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Ethereum / ETH, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Ethereum / ETH, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Ethereum / ETH, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Ethereum / ETH, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Ethereum / ETH, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Ethereum / ETH, Q1’26 May '26 | 3 times: Ethereum / ETH, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 3/838% | 17/2277% | 85%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Trading Volumeevery call | 9 times: Trading Volume, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 10 times: Trading Volume, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: Trading Volume, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 9 times: Trading Volume, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 9 times: Trading Volume, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 7 times: Trading Volume, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 9 times: Trading Volume, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Trading Volume, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 22/22100% | 94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Crypto Winter | 0 times: Crypto Winter, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Crypto Winter, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Crypto Winter, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Crypto Winter, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Crypto Winter, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Crypto Winter, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Crypto Winter, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Crypto Winter, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 8/2236% | 24%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Prediction Market | 0 times: Prediction Market, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 7 times: Prediction Market, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Prediction Market, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Prediction Market, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Prediction Market, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 11 times: Prediction Market, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 11 times: Prediction Market, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Prediction Market, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 6/2227% | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Regulator / Regulatory | 16 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 10 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 8 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 8 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 21/2295% | 84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/225% | 15%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 78 of 79 settled words resolved (98.7%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 7, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 28 | 24 yes · 4 no | 28/28 (100%) |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 36 | 32 yes · 4 no | 36/36 (100%) |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 8, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 15 | 13 yes · 2 no | 14/15 (93%) |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 2, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Coinbase (COIN): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COIN (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/coinbase · words: /api/v1/history?entity=coinbase · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP