Will Coinbase say “Custodial / Custody”?
Coinbase did not say “Custodial / Custody” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 5, 5, 8, 10, 2, 3, 4, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Coinbase said “Custodial / Custody” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 8, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 81% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Coinbase
Custodial / Custody
- Probability
- 81% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…serve three main customer groups, consumers, with our retail, advanced trading and self-custody apps, institutions, with our Coinbase Prime brokerage platform, and for developers, we…
…full stack architecture of Coinbase here. How it works is our battle-tested custody stores more crypto than any other company. Our settlement rails are fast,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…and this is the broad term that we use for DeFi, self custodial wallets and full adoption of decentralized technology as opposed to centralized intermediaries.…
…to our assets on platform, where customers then in turn stake, they custody, they engage in USDC. So we're seeing growth in native units despite…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…products, average loan balances across our institutional financing products and assets under custody. We ended the third quarter with $516 billion in assets on platform.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Custodial / Custody |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Custodial / Custody |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Custodial / Custody | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Custodial / Custody | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| May 8, 2025 | Custodial / Custody | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How many times did Coinbase say “Custodial / Custody” on its last earnings call?
- Coinbase did not say “Custodial / Custody” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 5, 5, 8, 10, 2, 3, 4, 0 times.
- How often does Coinbase say “Custodial / Custody”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Coinbase said “Custodial / Custody” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 8, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Coinbase says “Custodial / Custody” next time?
- 81%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Coinbase: ‘Custodial / Custody’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COIN/words/custodial-or-custody (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=coinbase&word=custodial%20%2F%20custody · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=coinbase&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP