Will Chipotle say “Inflation”?

Chipotle said “Inflation” 9 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 9, 7, 4, 18, 13, 9, 9 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Chipotle said “Inflation” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 96% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

96%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
95¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Chipotle

Inflation

Probability
96% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

9 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Adam Rymercompanyprepared · 24:36Hear it 24:30, Adam Rymer In transcript

…price, alongside lower avocado and dairy prices, were more than offset by inflation, primarily in beef and freight, as well as increased usage of several…

Adam Rymercompanyprepared · 24:54Hear it 24:52, Adam Rymer In transcript

Overall, we anticipate cost of sales inflation to be in the low single-digit range for Q3. Labor costs for the quarter were 25%, an increase…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

9 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Scott BoatwrightcompanypreparedIn transcript

…also continue to invest in value for our guests by pricing below inflation because we believe reinforcing our value proposition is the right thing to…

Adam RymercompanypreparedIn transcript

…and avocado prices and menu price increases were more than offset by inflation, primarily in beef and freight, as well as higher produce usage. Relative…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 · said 13 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

13 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Adam RymercompanypreparedIn transcript

…measured approach to pricing but do not expect it will fully offset inflation in the near term as we remain committed to delivering exceptional value…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 18 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · said 11 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026InflationKalshiYes9
Apr 29, 2026InflationKalshiYes9
Feb 3, 2026InflationKalshiYes13

Questions

How many times did Chipotle say “Inflation” on its last earnings call?
Chipotle said “Inflation” 9 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 9, 7, 4, 18, 13, 9, 9 times.
How often does Chipotle say “Inflation”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Chipotle said “Inflation” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Chipotle says “Inflation” next time?
96%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Chipotle: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CMG/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chipotle&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chipotle&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP