Chipotle (CMG)

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 64 word markets on Chipotle’s earnings calls since 2025, on 20 different words. Next call: Oct 28, 2026 (17 words listed).

“Inflation” on the Jul 29 call · 24:30 · said 9 times. Play the clip

Next: Earnings call ·

17 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Chipotle: the words listed for Wed, Oct 28, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ3’24Oct '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25Apr '25Q2’25Jul '25Q3’25year agoQ4’25Feb '26Q1’26Apr '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Inflation11 times: Inflation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said9 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said7 times: Inflation, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: Inflation, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said18 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said13 times: Inflation, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said9 times: Inflation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said9 times: Inflation, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%70/7593%96%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts95¢ Kalshi
Al Pastor1 time: Al Pastor, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Al Pastor, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Al Pastor, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said0 times: Al Pastor, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Al Pastor, Q3’25 Oct '254 times: Al Pastor, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said4 times: Al Pastor, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Al Pastor, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising6/875%4/850%14/7519%81%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts66¢ Kalshi
Iran / Middle East0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’24 Oct '244 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said5 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said3 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising7/888%7/888%10/7513%80%transcripts from the transcript model74¢ Kalshi
Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane2 times: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said10 times: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said2 times: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q1’26 Apr '262 times: Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%7/888%30/7540%78%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts90¢ Kalshi
Honey Chicken2 times: Honey Chicken, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Honey Chicken, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said6 times: Honey Chicken, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: Honey Chicken, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Honey Chicken, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Honey Chicken, Q4’25 Feb '263 times: Honey Chicken, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said6 times: Honey Chicken, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising6/875%6/875%6/758%75%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts83¢ Kalshi
Cilantro Lime0 times: Cilantro Lime, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Cilantro Lime, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Cilantro Lime, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Cilantro Lime, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Cilantro Lime, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Cilantro Lime, Q4’25 Feb '267 times: Cilantro Lime, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said4 times: Cilantro Lime, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising2/825%2/825%6/758%73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts71¢ Kalshi
Supply Chain5 times: Supply Chain, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said4 times: Supply Chain, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said3 times: Supply Chain, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: Supply Chain, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Supply Chain, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Supply Chain, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Supply Chain, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Supply Chain, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%5/862%40/7553%69%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts71¢ Kalshi
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Oct '244 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said8 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said5 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said4 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26falling5/862%5/862%6/758%57%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts26¢ Kalshi
Chipotle Kitchen0 times: Chipotle Kitchen, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Chipotle Kitchen, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Chipotle Kitchen, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Chipotle Kitchen, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Chipotle Kitchen, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Chipotle Kitchen, Q4’25 Feb '262 times: Chipotle Kitchen, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Chipotle Kitchen, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising2/825%2/825%3/754%54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts47¢ Kalshi
Carne Asada4 times: Carne Asada, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Carne Asada, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Carne Asada, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Carne Asada, Q2’25 Jul '256 times: Carne Asada, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Carne Asada, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Carne Asada, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Carne Asada, Q2’26 Jul '26falling4/850%4/850%18/7524%54%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts20¢ Kalshi
Headwind0 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '254 times: Headwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said4 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Jul '26falling4/850%2/825%20/7527%41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts27¢ Kalshi
Family Meal0 times: Family Meal, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Family Meal, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Family Meal, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Family Meal, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Family Meal, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Family Meal, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Family Meal, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Family Meal, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%3/754%33%transcripts from the transcript model77¢ Kalshi
Share Purchase0 times: Share Purchase, Q3’24 Oct '241 time: Share Purchase, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Share Purchase, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Share Purchase, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Share Purchase, Q3’25 Oct '251 time: Share Purchase, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Share Purchase, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Share Purchase, Q2’26 Jul '26falling4/850%4/850%6/758%30%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts14¢ Kalshi
Tailwind0 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jul '251 time: Tailwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26steady2/825%0/80%6/758%25%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts18¢ Kalshi
Automated / Automation2 times: Automated / Automation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said0 times: Automated / Automation, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Automated / Automation, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Automated / Automation, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Automated / Automation, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Automated / Automation, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Automated / Automation, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Automated / Automation, Q2’26 Jul '26falling1/812%1/812%11/7515%20%transcripts from the transcript model24¢ Kalshi
Boorito0 times: Boorito, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Boorito, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Boorito, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Boorito, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Boorito, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Boorito, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Boorito, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Boorito, Q2’26 Jul '26steady0/80%0/80%6/758%16%transcripts from the transcript model28¢ Kalshi
Autocado1 time: Autocado, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said0 times: Autocado, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Autocado, Q1’25 Apr '251 time: Autocado, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Autocado, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Autocado, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Autocado, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Autocado, Q2’26 Jul '26falling2/825%2/825%7/759%15%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts8¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 16:04 UTC.

Every word

1–7 of 7, most settled first
Chipotle: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’24Oct '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25Apr '25Q2’25Jul '25Q3’25Oct '25Q4’25Feb '26Q1’26Apr '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Automation1 time: Automation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said0 times: Automation, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Automation, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Automation, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Automation, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Automation, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Automation, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Automation, Q2’26 Jul '26falling1/812%1/812%5/757%13%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Promotion2 times: Promotion, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Promotion, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Promotion, Q1’25 Apr '253 times: Promotion, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said4 times: Promotion, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said3 times: Promotion, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said1 time: Promotion, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said3 times: Promotion, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising7/888%7/888%60/7580%85%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Transaction Growth3 times: Transaction Growth, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said3 times: Transaction Growth, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Transaction Growth, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Transaction Growth, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Transaction Growth, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Transaction Growth, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said1 time: Transaction Growth, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said3 times: Transaction Growth, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%25/7533%86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Wage Inflation3 times: Wage Inflation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said3 times: Wage Inflation, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Wage Inflation, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said2 times: Wage Inflation, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: Wage Inflation, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said3 times: Wage Inflation, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Wage Inflation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Wage Inflation, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%47/7563%84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Iran0 times: Iran, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Iran, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Iran, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Iran, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Iran, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Iran, Q4’25 Feb '262 times: Iran, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Iran, Q2’26 Jul '26rising1/812%0/80%2/753%25%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Queso0 times: Queso, Q3’24 Oct '241 time: Queso, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Queso, Q1’25 Apr '251 time: Queso, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Queso, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Queso, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Queso, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Queso, Q2’26 Jul '26falling2/825%0/80%21/7528%18%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Shutdown / Shut Down0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Jul '26steady0/80%0/80%1/751%13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 61 of 64 settled words resolved (95.3%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Jul 29, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript157 yes · 8 no15/15 (100%)
Apr 29, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript156 yes · 9 no14/15 (93%)
Feb 3, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript129 yes · 3 no12/12 (100%)
Oct 29, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript2214 yes · 8 no20/22 (91%)
Jul 23, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 23, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 4, 2025Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 29, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 24, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 24, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 6, 2024Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 27, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Chipotle (CMG): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CMG (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/chipotle · words: /api/v1/history?entity=chipotle · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP