Will Airbnb say “Recession”?
Airbnb did not say “Recession” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb did not say “Recession” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Airbnb
Recession
- Probability
- 21% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we've proven time and time again. We started Airbnb during the Great Recession of 2008. People turned to us for a more affordable way to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Recession |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How many times did Airbnb say “Recession” on its last earnings call?
- Airbnb did not say “Recession” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Airbnb say “Recession”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb did not say “Recession” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Airbnb says “Recession” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Airbnb: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ABNB/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=airbnb&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=airbnb&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP