Donald Trump: Monthly window, Aug 31, 2024
Polymarket What will Trump say in August?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Aug 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2024. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
4 words · 2 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannibal Lecter | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto | Yes | – | 0 | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mixed-race | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shark | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-august · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP