# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2024-08-31 (settled) · 4 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-in-august · as_of 2026-10-26T16:04:29Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-31 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-in-august (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump in the month of August.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Shark	shark	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto	crypto	4	0	0	nnnn	0.35	hist	0	0	yes	1
Hannibal Lecter	hannibal lecter	1	0	0	n	0.41	prior	0	0	yes	1
Mixed-race	mixed race	0	0			0.41	prior	0	0	no	1