Taylor Swift: Episode, Oct 6, 2025
Kalshi What will Taylor Swift say during The Tonight Show?
Polymarket What will Taylor Swift say during Tonight Show on October 6?
Markets
40 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Era | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tour | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Poet | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wedding | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Engage / Engaged | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Baby | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Super Bowl | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Superbowl / Super Bowl | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 22 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abigail | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bonus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deluxe | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Egg | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| EP | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grammy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| James / Comey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midnight | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NFL | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ring | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sabrina Carpenter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sydney / Sweeney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| The Life of a Showgirl | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vault / Vaulted | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Adele | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chiefs 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jason | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sabrina / Carpenter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spotify | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Swiftie 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tour 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Travis / Kelce 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pregnant / Pregnancy | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Breakup / Break Up | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kelce | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pregnant | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-taylor-swift-say-during-tonight-show-on-october-6 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP