# Steve Bannon (steve-bannon) · speech 2025-12-19 · 19 words · P p:what-will-steve-bannon-say-at-americafest-on-december-19 · as_of 2026-10-27T16:44:26Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-19 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v P, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-steve-bannon-say-at-americafest-on-december-19 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon says the listed term during the scheduled event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times	ai|artificial intelligence#3	3	0	0		0.4	no
America First	america first	1	0	0		0.4	no
Biden 5+ times	biden#5	5	0	0		0.4	no
China / Chinese / CCP 3+ times	ccp|china|chinese#3	3	0	0		0.4	no
Deep State / Administrative State	administrative state|deep state	1	0	0		0.4	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	0	0		0.4	no
EU / Europe / European	eu|europe|european	1	0	0		0.4	no
Illegal Immigrant / Illegal Alien	illegal alien|illegal immigrant	1	0	0		0.4	no
Israel	israel	1	0	0		0.4	yes
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	0	0		0.4	no
Luigi / Mangione	luigi|mangione	1	0	0		0.4	no
Mamdani / New York	mamdani|new york	1	0	0		0.4	no
Marxist / Marxism	marxism|marxist	1	0	0		0.4	no
Populist / Populism 2+ times	populism|populist#2	2	0	0		0.4	yes
Prison	prison	1	0	0		0.4	yes
Third World War / World War III	third world war|world war iii	1	0	0		0.4	no
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	0	0		0.4	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0		0.4	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	1	0	0		0.4	no