# Gretchen Whitmer (gretchen-whitmer) · speech 2024-08-22 · 16 words · P p:what-will-gretchen-whitmer-say-during-dnc-speech · as_of 2026-10-25T08:50:00Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-22 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v P, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-gretchen-whitmer-say-during-dnc-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the content or key themes of Gretchen Whitmer's speech at the Democratic National Convention.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Abortion	abortion	1	0	0		0.3	no
Big Gretch	big gretch	1	0	0		0.3	yes
Climate Change	climate change	1	0	0		0.3	no
Convicted Felon	convicted felon	1	0	0		0.3	no
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0		0.3	no
Don't give up	don't give up	1	0	0		0.3	no
Donald Trump 3+ times	donald trump#3	3	0	0		0.3	no
Flint	flint	1	0	0		0.3	no
Gay	gay	1	0	0		0.3	no
Glass Ceiling	glass ceiling	1	0	0		0.3	no
Inflation	inflation	1	0	0		0.3	no
Israel	israel	1	0	0		0.3	no
Michigan	michigan	1	0	0		0.3	yes
Muslim	muslim	1	0	0		0.3	no
Obamacare/ACA	aca|obamacare	1	0	0		0.3	no
White House	white house	1	0	0		0.3	no