FOMC press conference, Sep 18, 2024

Wed, Sep 18RemarksHistory onlyFOMC press conference

Updated

Markets

1 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
unemployment 5+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Apowell-says-unemployment-5-times-in-fomc-intro-statement · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP