# Winter Olympics (winter-olympics) · game 2026-02-22 · 18 words · K k:KXWOMENTION-26MAR06 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:36:35Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2026-02-22 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWOMENTION-26MAR06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Terry Gannon or Tara Lipinski or Johnny Weir says {word} as part of 2026 Winter Olympics Closing Ceremony, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
NHL	nhl	12	9	0.75	nYYYYYnnYY	0.69	hist	no
ACL	acl	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
Arianna Fontana	arianna fontana	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
Armani	armani	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
Bocelli	bocelli	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
French Alps	french alp	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	yes
Jamaica	jamaica	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
Mikaela Shiffrin	mikaela shiffrin	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	yes
Ralph Lauren	ralph lauren	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
Vance	vance	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
War / Conflict / Invasion	conflict|invasion|war	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
Dope / Doping	dope|doping	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Paralympic / Paralympics	paralympic	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Pizza	pizza	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Trans / Transgender	tran|transgender	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Lindsey Vonn	lindsey vonn	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.29	hist	yes
Amphitheater	amphitheater	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Gladiator	gladiator	0	0			0.53	prior	no