Alexander Stubb: Debate, Sep 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Alexander Stubb say during his United Nations address?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSTUBBMENTION-26SEP22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP