Alexander Stubb
As of Oct 28, 2026, Kalshi has settled 13 word markets on Alexander Stubb’s appearances since 2026, on 13 different words.
History Wall
1–13 of 13, most settled first| Word | Sep 22latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Climate | Settled yes: Climate, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza | Settled yes: Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Russia / Russian | Settled yes: Russia / Russian, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Settled yes: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ceasefire | Settled no: Ceasefire, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China / Chinese | Settled no: China / Chinese, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| NATO | Settled no: NATO, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nuclear | Settled no: Nuclear, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff | Settled no: Tariff, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | DebateWhat will Alexander Stubb say during his United Nations address? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Alexander Stubb: mention market word history”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/alexander-stubb (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/alexander-stubb · words: /api/v1/history?entity=alexander-stubb · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP