# Alexander Stubb (alexander-stubb) · debate 2026-09-22 · 13 words · K k:KXSTUBBMENTION-26SEP22 · as_of 2026-10-28T02:46:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-22 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSTUBBMENTION-26SEP22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Alexander Stubb says {word} as part of official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.43	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	0	0		0.43	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0		0.43	no
Climate	climate	0	0		0.43	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0		0.43	no
NATO	nato	0	0		0.43	no
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0		0.43	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0		0.43	no
Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza	gaza|palestine|palestinian	0	0		0.43	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	0	0		0.43	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0		0.43	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.43	no
Ukraine / Ukrainian	ukraine|ukrainian	0	0		0.43	yes